Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 35 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| G. Alexander | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Guidry | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Dyer | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Plank | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shavies | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Ahearn | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| T. Maclin | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Easley | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Chaney | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Richards | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trevyor Fisher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Frazier | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter