Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Belser | 34 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| R. DeRogatis | 34 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Gay | 32 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Vounang | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| N. Lewis | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| F. North III | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brett Melton | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Shepherd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Busch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Marigney | 37 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| D. Kickert | 34 | 10-15 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 27 | - |
| J. Sanders | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| H. Qedan | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| F. Adjiwanou | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Walberg | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Collins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. DaSilva | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter