Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.1% | 16.9% | -8.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ewing * | 40 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Redick * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Love * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Nelson | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. McClure | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Davidson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lawrence * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Hamilton * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Hill * | 37 | 4-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -2 | - |
| C. Jackson * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Gray * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Missere | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mohammed Diakite | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mayo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Abit | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter