Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bausley | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Harris | 32 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 5 | - |
| D. Freeman | 31 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Jameel Pugh | 31 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Lange | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. McKay | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Adams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Perry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boykin Jr. | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Stevens | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Sir | 28 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| K. Landry | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Golob | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Garnett | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Hill | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter