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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hood 38 7-12 2-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 17 5 -
N. Welch 34 6-10 3-7 0-0 6 6 1 0 2 15 16 -
M. McCraw 29 2-8 2-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 8 4 -
J. Burtschi 28 2-9 1-7 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 -
T. Keller 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Anderson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
D. Nwaelele 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Buchanan 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Holum 7 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Umeh 34 6-11 0-1 3-5 3 3 1 0 6 15 5 -
O. Blankson 31 2-5 2-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
R. Morgan 28 1-2 0-0 5-5 2 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
T. Vaught 27 5-7 3-4 7-8 10 1 0 0 2 20 22 -
J. Anthony 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
L. Amundson 17 2-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 2 3 4 7 -
A. Hannan 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Blassingame 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 0 -1 -
D. Villepigue 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Terry 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter