Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +2 (83-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burton | 38 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| B. Strickland | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Lucious Wagner | 33 | 9-10 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Petty | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Gore | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Webster | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Ottens | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Phifer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Booker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| K. Korver | 29 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Randolph | 29 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P. Eggers | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| N. Works | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Houston | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Grant | 12 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Tracy | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Bryant | 10 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Bancroft | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter