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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hayes * 35 4-8 0-0 1-2 3 2 3 0 4 9 5 -
M. Kennedy * 33 5-10 1-3 4-5 4 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
P. Sparks * 30 8-14 7-10 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 26 14 -
R. Rondo * 26 1-5 0-0 0-1 5 7 1 0 1 2 9 -
R. Morris * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
L. Obrzut 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
R. Moss 15 3-3 2-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
J. Crawford 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Bradley 8 2-2 2-2 1-3 0 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
B. Perry 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
J. Carrier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Adetula 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 3-10 2-7 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 10 7 -
C. Davis * 39 5-7 0-1 7-7 6 3 2 1 3 17 19 -
J. Roberson * 38 7-18 5-9 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 21 9 -
E. Shelton * 34 4-9 1-5 3-4 4 5 2 0 4 12 10 -
J. Davidson * 19 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
J. Felix 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
E. Brock 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jonus 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter