Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (28.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +38 (87-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gloger | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 29 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| G. Ethington | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Fells | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| N. Campbell | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Bruckner | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Sanders | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Baker | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Metelski | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 30 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| N. Harris | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Nelson | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| C. McGowen | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J. Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Holmes | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Pak | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Neil | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. McVey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Edwards | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter