Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. White * | 39 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| I. Boylan * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Heard * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Chitwood * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Frazier | 22 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| R. Locke | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Cook | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Doubley * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| G. Yango * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Korajkic * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Maraker * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Mihailovic * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Newton | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Gray | 20 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Kemper | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Webb | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Purnell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter