Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +18 (65-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.