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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Margin 78.7% 21.3% -7.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers -9 (44-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dean * 33 4-13 4-11 2-3 8 1 3 0 1 14 12 -
Ellis Myles * 28 3-7 0-0 2-8 11 4 0 1 1 8 16 -
J. Palacios * 25 2-9 0-4 4-7 6 0 1 2 5 8 3 -
F. Garcia * 23 3-10 1-5 5-5 1 0 1 1 5 12 0 -
L. O'Bannon * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
T. Laudermill 36 0-4 0-2 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
O. George 24 1-5 0-0 0-2 6 4 3 2 2 2 10 -
L. Wade 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
P. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Gianiny 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. * 39 4-15 0-4 6-8 8 1 2 0 4 14 6 -
A. Rice * 38 2-12 1-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 7 -3 -
D. Erwin * 29 1-5 0-0 4-6 11 1 0 4 4 6 13 -
J. Hunt * 23 1-9 0-7 4-6 5 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
R. Carney * 21 0-9 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Arthur Barclay 22 1-1 0-0 3-6 2 0 1 2 0 5 9 -
J. Dorsey 15 1-2 0-0 2-4 9 0 2 0 3 4 10 -
W. Williams 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Njoya 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter