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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% -
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% -
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gay * 39 6-16 0-3 5-9 5 1 2 2 2 17 9 -
D. Brown * 36 5-10 2-4 4-4 6 2 1 0 5 16 10 -
C. Villanueva * 33 5-10 0-0 4-8 13 1 0 0 3 14 15 -
M. Williams * 29 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 6 1 0 3 13 10 -
J. Boone * 23 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
M. Mulchrone 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 1 6 -
A. Kellogg 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
E. Nelson 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
R. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chevon Troutman * 39 7-13 0-1 8-14 12 2 2 0 1 22 24 -
C. Krauser * 38 7-18 2-12 5-9 3 7 4 0 2 21 15 -
A. Bishop * 25 3-4 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 2 1 7 8 -
A. Graves * 24 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Mark McCarroll * 16 3-4 1-1 0-2 2 0 2 1 0 7 8 -
R. Ramon 30 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 5 -3 -
A. Gray 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
L. Kendall 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 0 1 -
K. Benjamin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter