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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 21.4% 78.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (74-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon 36 3-12 1-2 2-4 7 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Z. Dowdell 34 4-7 3-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 3 12 9 -
Carlos Dixon 30 1-6 0-4 2-2 6 1 0 1 5 4 1 -
A. Green 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
M. Cooke 16 3-5 1-2 2-6 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
D. Washington 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 6 2 -
J. King 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Krabbendam 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Harris 7 1-1 0-0 5-6 1 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
A. Calloway 6 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Tucker 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
W. Witherspoon 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atsur 36 5-6 4-4 4-4 4 0 2 0 1 18 17 -
I. Evtimov 33 6-9 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 14 12 -
J. Hodge 32 2-8 0-2 4-8 8 5 1 0 1 8 13 -
T. Bethel 29 3-6 2-4 2-2 3 6 2 0 1 10 14 -
J. Collins 27 4-10 3-6 3-4 0 0 2 3 1 14 8 -
A. Brackman 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
G. Grant 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Bennerman 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Simmons 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
B. Albritton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Roach 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Watkins 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter