Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | -5.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -4 (72-76). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dyer | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Andre Owens | 36 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| L. Smith | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Hensley | 28 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| B. Latham | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Lawson | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sergio de Randamie | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Brannon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Jones II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cook | 39 | 6-17 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -3 | - |
| T. Hammonds | 37 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. McNeil | 34 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | - |
| C. Rouse | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Moussa Badiane | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| J. Hart | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Kilgore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Castro | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. King | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter