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2005-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman * 36 4-9 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
D. Harris * 35 4-11 1-7 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 12 5 -
G. Brown * 30 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
C. Sims * 17 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 3 4 2 -
S. Harrell * 14 1-2 0-1 2-3 1 1 0 1 2 4 3 -
B. Petway 27 4-6 0-0 3-3 3 0 3 6 2 11 15 -
D. Wohl 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 2 4 -
J.C. Mathis 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Bell 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Andrews 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Duvancic * 38 1-2 0-1 1-2 7 2 1 0 4 3 7 -
V. Vukusic * 36 11-13 4-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 26 16 -
A. Carson * 30 4-6 4-6 0-0 6 5 1 0 3 12 15 -
M. Jenkins * 25 3-5 2-2 1-1 1 3 2 1 0 9 11 -
T.J. Parker * 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Hachad 26 6-11 1-2 1-2 7 3 1 0 2 14 12 -
T. Doyle 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 1 -
E. Seacat 5 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Ross 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter