Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters | 37 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. DeVries | 34 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Granger | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Neale | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Danridge | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Wall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Harden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hart | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Walter | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Osby | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Phaler | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 34 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Hudson | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. LeSure | 31 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| C. Walton | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Sharper | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Manker | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Camara | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter