Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Quaintance | 36 | 10-12 | 3-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 26 | - |
| D. Lee | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| A. Cool | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| L. Vrcelj | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Kimbrough | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Conerly | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| M. Brown | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Surry | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Larson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 35 | 5-14 | 0-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Becken | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| S. Morgan | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| M. Brown | 31 | 2-17 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Manier | 30 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| H. Favors | 24 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dickerson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Barnett | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter