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2005-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 71.8% 28.2% -5.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% -
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Savage 38 2-4 1-2 4-6 0 0 1 1 3 9 4 -
S. Greenman 35 4-7 3-4 4-4 2 2 2 0 1 15 13 -
W. Venable 34 4-8 0-1 1-3 2 7 3 0 2 9 11 -
M. Schafer 28 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 0 1 -
L. Owings 25 6-8 2-3 5-5 5 1 2 1 2 19 18 -
J. Wallace 21 2-5 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 1 2 9 8 -
M. Stephens 19 2-3 1-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 3 7 4 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Boswell 36 5-7 3-3 0-1 1 3 2 0 6 13 6 -
B. Loscalzo 30 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 9 10 -
M. Preston 25 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 6 2 -
J. Baumann 24 6-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 14 11 -
T. Hill 20 1-4 0-0 2-4 1 2 2 0 2 4 3 -
A. Peeples 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Montgomery 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 2 1 2 0 -1 -
B. Nwachukwu 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 0 4 10 -
D. Cuff 10 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 5 -
M. Land 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter