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Yale Bulldogs 66
@
Harvard Crimson 82
2005-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 74.8% 25.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✓ (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - ✓
Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% - ✓

Actual: Harvard Crimson +16 (82-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Draughan 33 4-9 0-2 6-6 2 2 2 0 2 14 9 -
A. Gamboa 32 4-10 1-5 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 10 5 -
C. Holmes 26 5-7 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 14 5 -
C. Hughes 24 6-13 0-0 2-4 11 2 2 0 0 14 16 -
D. Martin 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
E. Flato 17 0-2 0-1 4-4 0 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
S. Kaplan 16 2-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 -2 -
N. Holmes 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Upshaw 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
M. Kyle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Abromaitis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Greenberg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Norman 37 3-10 0-4 1-1 4 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
B. Cusworth 32 9-17 0-1 3-5 11 2 1 2 3 21 17 -
D. Giovacchini 31 2-7 0-2 1-2 4 7 2 0 2 5 9 -
M. Stehle 28 5-12 1-4 4-4 9 4 2 1 2 15 17 -
K. Rogus 26 4-5 4-5 1-3 1 4 2 0 1 13 14 -
J. Goffredo 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
M. Beal 12 2-3 0-1 4-4 3 3 0 0 0 8 11 -
Z. Martin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Beatty 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Lambert 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Darcy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Unger 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Yada 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Klunick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter