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SMU Mustangs 80
@
Boise State Broncos 62
2005-02-25

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 58.6% 41.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% - ✓
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 ✓ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.9% 41.1% - ✓

Actual: Boise State Broncos -18 (62-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hopkins 39 8-16 3-9 9-10 2 2 3 0 2 28 17 -
D. Pearson 34 9-16 3-4 0-0 13 0 1 1 1 21 19 -
E. Castro 31 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 1 2 6 4 -
J. Isham 30 4-7 1-3 0-2 1 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
P. Simpson 25 5-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 2 0 13 17 -
D. Roberts 23 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 6 1 0 0 1 7 -
J. Knowles 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Ofoegbu 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
P. Ritter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Killen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Karl 31 5-9 1-3 2-3 3 4 3 0 2 13 12 -
J. Ellis 30 5-11 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 2 11 6 -
K. Johnson 30 3-7 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
S. Robinson 25 2-6 0-1 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
K. Clark 22 7-11 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 16 6 -
E. Lane 22 0-7 0-5 0-2 2 2 0 0 2 0 -5 -
M. Thompson 16 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 6 0 -
T. Banks 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Lloyd 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Green 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter