Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -18 (62-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins | 39 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| D. Pearson | 34 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| E. Castro | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Isham | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Simpson | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Roberts | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| J. Knowles | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Ritter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Killen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Karl | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Ellis | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Robinson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Clark | 22 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| E. Lane | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Thompson | 16 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Banks | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Green | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter