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2005-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Orr 35 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 8 7 -
T. Pearson 33 2-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 7 6 -
D. Hopkins 24 2-7 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
K. Jenifer 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -
M. Ward 22 4-9 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
I. Redding 18 5-7 2-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 14 10 -
C. Johnson 16 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. Jackson 12 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
P. Griffith 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
S. Dansby 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willoughby 37 4-9 1-5 3-3 3 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
D. Winans 36 1-4 0-3 4-4 6 4 2 1 1 6 14 -
D. Gonner 32 4-13 0-4 7-11 6 3 1 2 4 15 10 -
R. Golson 29 5-7 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 2 2 11 10 -
P. Paradoski 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 3 2 -
W. Francis 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
M. Nelke 15 2-3 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
R. Belcher 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter