Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.