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2005-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.5% 3.5% -
Bradley-Terry 91.5% 8.5% -
Margin 95.6% 4.4% -16.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -16 (68-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 34 8-13 0-3 6-10 4 4 3 2 1 22 21 -
E. Knight * 32 3-4 1-1 2-2 8 1 1 0 3 9 12 -
R. Turiaf * 30 3-9 0-0 8-10 11 2 0 5 3 14 20 -
J.P. Batista * 27 4-10 1-3 4-4 6 0 1 1 0 13 11 -
D. Raivio 40 3-8 3-7 3-4 1 2 1 1 4 12 5 -
S. Mallon 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 2 0 8 14 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 4 2 -
D. Pendergraft 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Michaelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Floyd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cooper * 35 7-14 3-6 3-4 2 3 0 0 4 20 7 -
B. Sullivan * 28 5-10 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Wilson * 26 1-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
A. Gahlmann * 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 0 6 15 -
P. Jeter 35 4-14 0-4 5-5 3 5 0 0 2 13 5 -
M. Lewis 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
K. Aaker 17 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
S. Watson 10 2-2 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Dominguez 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
B. Averette 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Wanless 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter