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2005-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% -
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilkinson * 37 7-14 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 0 16 11 -
A. Tucker * 34 5-8 0-1 8-8 3 1 0 0 1 18 13 -
K. Taylor * 29 2-7 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 5 3 -
C. Hanson * 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 3 3 -
Sharif Chambliss * 20 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Parker 19 4-8 1-1 2-4 2 1 0 1 1 11 6 -
M. Flowers 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
R. Nixon 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Helmigk 6 1-4 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Anderson * 29 10-10 1-1 7-7 4 1 2 0 1 28 24 -
P. Davis * 28 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 2 1 13 19 -
M. Ager * 27 2-7 1-2 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 11 10 -
S. Brown * 25 4-10 1-5 2-4 2 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
D. Neitzel * 17 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
K. Torbert 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Hill 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 2 5 -
M. Trannon 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Tim Bograkos 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Rowley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter