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2005-02-24

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.0% 71.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff McMillan * 32 7-9 0-0 3-6 8 1 0 1 3 17 15 -
N. Young * 28 1-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
G. Pruitt * 28 4-10 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 10 1 -
A. Betz-White * 28 2-7 1-5 1-1 1 3 1 0 2 6 2 -
R. O'Neil * 27 4-8 3-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 11 5 -
D. Shackleford 24 2-9 2-5 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 6 -1 -
G. Guenther Jr. 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Craven 9 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 1 5 -
N. Curtis 5 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
G. Gaudino 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Doucette 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Penrose 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Moore 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson * 34 7-9 1-1 2-2 7 5 4 0 2 17 22 -
J. Farmar * 31 3-7 0-1 2-2 2 6 1 0 2 8 8 -
J. Shipp * 30 3-8 0-2 3-4 5 4 1 0 0 9 11 -
M. Fey * 29 7-11 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 1 0 15 14 -
A. Afflalo * 23 7-8 2-3 6-9 9 2 1 0 3 22 23 -
Brian Morrison 28 5-7 2-4 2-2 3 3 2 2 3 14 14 -
M. McKinney 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -1 -
R. Hollins 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Johnson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Q. Hawking 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
I. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter