Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Anthony | 38 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| J. Long | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Daniels | 36 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| T. Fairley | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| J. Grant | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Beard | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Whittle | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Goodwin | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Davis | 4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Owens | 31 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Attaway | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Millsap | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| R. Posey | 25 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Justin Harbert | 23 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| R. Selvage | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Donlon | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. President | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Fuqua | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Hall | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter