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2005-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +11.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 12.6% 87.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Young * 40 4-14 2-8 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 12 6 -
N. Watson * 39 5-15 2-6 3-4 8 3 2 0 0 15 13 -
T. Douglas * 37 7-15 5-9 2-2 3 4 3 0 5 21 11 -
Q. Brown * 30 3-11 1-2 4-4 9 1 1 0 4 11 7 -
F. Tolbert * 22 2-5 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
D. Hayles 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Edun 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Derozan 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kennedy * 37 9-17 3-5 9-11 11 3 0 2 0 30 29 -
C. Hayes * 34 5-9 0-0 3-6 6 4 0 2 1 13 15 -
R. Rondo * 26 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 7 2 0 3 3 8 -
R. Morris * 24 5-6 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 3 1 12 12 -
P. Sparks * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 5 -2 -
R. Moss 17 0-2 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
R. Bradley 14 3-4 2-3 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Crawford 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Perry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Carrier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Obrzut 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter