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2005-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Greene 32 5-11 3-6 4-4 2 3 1 0 3 17 9 -
G. Alexander 29 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 3 -
T. Guidry 28 4-15 3-10 3-5 3 1 0 0 3 14 0 -
G. Dilligard 28 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 1 0 9 11 -
Lorenzo Gordon 27 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
N. Plank 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
N. Onyeuku 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
D. Ford 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
R. Carlwell 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 -
K. Ford 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 4 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. O'Bryant 36 10-15 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 3 2 20 17 -
T. Bennett 36 6-11 1-1 6-6 6 3 6 1 2 19 22 -
D. Ruffin 36 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 6 1 1 2 6 12 -
J. Crouch 26 1-7 1-5 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 1 -
L. Wright 26 5-8 1-1 5-8 6 0 0 1 0 16 15 -
M. Sommerville 24 4-8 1-1 2-2 6 4 0 0 1 11 12 -
J.J. Tauai 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Rembert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Heirman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter