Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| G. Alexander | 29 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Guidry | 28 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Plank | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Ford | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Ford | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. O'Bryant | 36 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Bennett | 36 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 36 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Crouch | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Wright | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M. Sommerville | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Rembert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Heirman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter