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2005-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 82.0% 18.0% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Log Adjusted 93.3% 6.7% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shane Power 38 5-10 2-4 3-5 1 4 5 0 3 15 12 -
L. Roberts 36 6-14 1-2 6-12 12 2 0 0 2 19 17 -
G. Ervin 35 5-9 0-1 2-2 0 6 3 0 2 12 10 -
W. Frazier 31 5-11 1-6 1-2 4 2 4 0 3 12 8 -
O. Harper 30 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
M. Campbell 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
C. Rhodes 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Slater 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 7 -
J. Edmondson 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
W. Sharpe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines 36 4-11 0-5 4-4 7 5 4 0 3 12 14 -
C. Toney 30 4-9 2-4 4-4 1 0 2 0 3 14 5 -
S. Newman 28 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 3 3 4 5 -
L. Stukes 26 6-13 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 13 0 -
K. Brophy 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Bliss 20 3-6 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 2 2 10 12 -
C. Gibbs 20 4-6 0-0 1-3 2 3 1 1 1 9 9 -
J. McAuley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Y. Idrissi 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Waldrop 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Wainscott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter