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2005-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Moore 39 4-10 1-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 5 12 0 -
D. Moss 38 7-14 3-6 3-4 11 3 2 0 1 20 21 -
J. Adler 34 2-5 0-1 4-4 9 0 1 2 2 8 13 -
E. Gray 29 1-11 1-9 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 5 0 -
A. Daanish 21 1-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
B. Ray 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
R. Trudeau 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
E. Booe 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Yelovich 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 31 3-4 0-0 4-4 5 2 2 0 0 10 15 -
N. Works 30 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 3 1 10 12 -
L. Randolph 28 4-9 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 9 4 -
K. Korver 27 0-4 0-4 6-6 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
N. Grant 23 2-5 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
P. Eggers 20 3-8 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
S. Tracy 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
L. Houston 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Heemskerk 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Bryant 6 0-3 0-3 0-3 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Emmenecker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter