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2005-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 69.0% 31.0% -
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% -
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 (2.9 off)
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones 27 1-6 0-2 4-4 4 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
W. Williams 24 2-5 0-2 4-4 4 6 1 0 2 8 12 -
M. Bennett 24 3-6 2-4 0-1 4 3 0 0 2 8 7 -
M. Scott 22 6-11 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 16 5 -
C. Alvarez 19 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
N. Plummer 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 8 7 -
B. Roberts 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
J. Binnie 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
T. Meacham 16 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Cripe 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Stafford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 39 8-15 0-5 10-11 6 2 0 1 0 26 20 -
P. Lottin 31 6-14 2-8 5-7 3 3 1 0 3 19 9 -
S. Dumbliauskas 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 5 -
W. Dunston 22 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
I. Carson 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 1 3 -
D. Holmes 19 2-5 0-1 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
B. Gibbs 14 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 1 5 4 -
Y. Camara 13 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
M. Lee 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
K. Carter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter