Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Bennett | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Scott | 22 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Plummer | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Roberts | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Binnie | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Meacham | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Cripe | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Stafford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 39 | 8-15 | 0-5 | 10-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| P. Lottin | 31 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Dumbliauskas | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| W. Dunston | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Carson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Holmes | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Gibbs | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Y. Camara | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Lee | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter