Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberson * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| C. Davis * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Steele * | 37 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Felix | 15 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| E. Brock | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| B. Bass * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Balla * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Hudson * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| G. Davis * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| X. Whipple | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Neltner | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter