Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +8 (86-78). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 43 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 38 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tan White | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Yolanda Paige | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 48 | 11-23 | 1-4 | 8-12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 47 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 42 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tari Phillips | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Felicia Ragland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter