Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 37 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 33 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Wright | 32 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| G. Jackson | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Christensen | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Snell | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| L. Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 35 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Dydek | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter