Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 23 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Williams | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Jackson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. White | 12 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Robinson | 34 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Hammon | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Wauters | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| V. Johnson | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Baranova | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Christon | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter