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Phoenix Mercury 68
@
Charlotte Sting 58
2005-05-26

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Charlotte Sting Spread Result
Elo 69.0% 31.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 70.7% 29.3% - ✓
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 66.9% 33.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Sting -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diana Taurasi 38 6-15 4-7 3-4 5 7 1 2 4 19 15 -
A. DeForge 36 5-9 4-5 6-7 4 1 1 0 5 20 12 -
P. Pierson 31 3-12 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 3 7 0 -
S. Wright 31 4-5 1-2 8-10 3 1 0 0 0 17 16 -
A. Robinson 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Christensen 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Snell 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 3 0 0 3 7 -
L. Harrison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Sting

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 8-13 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 0 2 21 13 -
A. Feaster 32 2-7 1-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
T. Sutton-Brown 30 3-8 0-0 9-10 4 1 1 2 2 15 13 -
T. Kostic 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 2 6 -
S. Sam 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Perkins 18 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 2 0 1 6 6 -
T. Miller 10 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 4 2 -
H. Darling 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Lewis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
K. Mazzante 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter