Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| A. DeForge | 36 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Robinson | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 20 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Snell | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Christensen | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| G. Jackson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 15-17 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 26 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Williams | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Jackson | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter