Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +8 (77-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Bailey | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Travis Bailey | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Corey Stokes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Daniels | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Seth Engelken | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Corey Lamkin | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nick Jackson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Ervin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aaron White | 13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Simon | 36 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Beau Bauer | 34 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Quintin Carouthers | 33 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Pete Campbell | 27 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Byron Malone | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jason Malone | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Quintin Butler | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter