Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -14 (64-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brown | 34 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Casey Long | 33 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Steve Cherry | 31 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mindaugas Katelynas | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Ricky Hood | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Alphonso Pugh | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Matt Malone | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Charles Anderson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jerice Crouch | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Mastin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Smith | 39 | 5-22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Reed | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ben Rhoda | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| James Anthony | 29 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Travis Strong | 28 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Dillion Sneed | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Oatman | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter