Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +31 (70-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reichner | 32 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M. Hall | 28 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7 | - |
| J. Balderson | 26 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Miles | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Nashif | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Burgess | 18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. Ainge | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Rose | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Dawes | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Jensen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Burgess | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Keller | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. McCraw | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Hood | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Welch | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Holum | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Teets | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Peterson | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Dillinger | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Swan | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Hood | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Frye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Maren | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter