Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 32 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Lawson | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Walker | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Newton | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Buescher | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Brunson | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 36 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Robinson | 32 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| B. Snell | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Christensen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Jackson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
* = starter