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Model Predictions

Model Marist Red Foxes Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Margin 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“

Actual: Iona Gaels +4 (92-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Will Whittington 35 9-18 5-12 6-6 1 1 1 0 2 29 12 -
M. Jackson 34 2-9 0-3 1-1 5 11 2 0 4 5 10 -
Ben Farmer 31 1-5 1-2 4-4 4 1 1 0 3 7 5 -
W. McClurkin 26 4-7 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
K. Clemons 19 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Shae McNamara 17 6-7 2-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 15 14 -
Miles Orman 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -1 -
Brandon Ellerbee 13 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
P. Monagan 11 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 4 4 -

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Steve Burtt 39 11-23 4-7 12-14 6 1 1 0 3 38 20 -
Greg Jenkins 31 8-12 0-0 5-9 4 2 0 1 3 21 13 -
Marvin McCullough 29 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 6 2 0 2 5 7 -
Justin Marshall 24 4-6 1-2 0-1 4 0 1 2 0 9 10 -
Charles Henson 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
Kiril Wachsmann 23 2-3 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 0 8 12 -
Gary Springer 16 2-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 2 7 5 -
Taquan Evans 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter