Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +4 (77-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rommel Marentez | 43 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Moore | 42 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Fowzi Abdelsamad | 40 | 9-19 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Juillerat | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Phil Rasmussen | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Justin Stearns | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Madison Butts | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Hawkins | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Houston | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Onye Ibekwe | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jibril Hodges | 28 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Chris Jenkins | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keion Kindred | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cody Pearson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Louis Darby | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sam Byrd | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Coleman | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter