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2005-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (0.5 off)

Actual: Long Beach State Beach +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Marentez 43 4-10 2-5 0-0 7 2 3 0 0 10 12 -
R. Moore 42 6-16 2-3 6-8 6 2 1 0 2 20 11 -
F. Abdelsamad 40 9-19 3-11 3-6 6 0 1 0 4 24 8 -
T. Juillerat 37 2-3 0-0 3-6 5 2 1 0 3 7 9 -
P. Rasmussen 26 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
R. Ehsan 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Stearns 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Butts 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Carlyle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hawkins 37 5-10 1-3 4-4 5 2 2 0 5 15 9 -
K. Houston 34 5-11 0-0 5-5 2 4 0 0 1 15 9 -
O. Ibekwe 31 4-6 0-0 1-8 9 2 0 0 1 9 13 -
J. Hodges 28 4-9 4-9 4-4 3 4 1 2 1 16 16 -
C. Jenkins 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Kindred 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Pearson 22 4-7 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 1 3 10 8 -
L. Darby 12 3-4 1-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
S. Byrd 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Coleman 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter