Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -8 (68-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason McKrieth | 35 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Mike Harris | 34 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| J.R. Harrison | 30 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Brock Gillespie | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Morris Almond | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Chancellor | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzo Williams | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paulius Packevicius | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Britton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Killings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Al-Sayyad | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Bell | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Dwight O'Neil | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Vance Coleman | 24 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 4-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Donovan Morris | 24 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Dreike Bouldin | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Hector Hernandez | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dominique White | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Berry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carl Ross | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter