Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +14 (81-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Christensen | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Kleist | 36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Vetrano | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ben Sturgill | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Craig Walls | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Blagoj Janev | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ioannis Karalis | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Durant | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Sorrentine | 37 | 8-18 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Coppenrath | 33 | 16-23 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 31 | - |
| Germain Mopa Njila | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | - |
| David Hehn | 30 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Martin Klimes | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Duell | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Alex Jensen | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Schneider | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Cieplicki | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Timothy McCrory | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter