Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +2 (72-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Sumter | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Michael Jefferson | 32 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Chad Kosmo | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Barrett | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Husein Pistoljevic | 22 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dana Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Giles | 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Ostergaard | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Barbosa | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jomo Belfor | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Cavell Johnson | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Cathlin | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| John Naparlo | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chris Clarke | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Gabriel Chami | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Greene-Long | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter