Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +11 (65-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Jackson * | 39 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Richard Chaney * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bryant Markson * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Justin Hawkins * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tim Drisdom | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Langvad | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jermaine Calvin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Jackson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Neale * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Troy DeVries * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| David Chiotti * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mark Walters * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Bambale Osby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Blake Harden | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen Walter | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tony Danridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Wall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Hart | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter