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2005-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn * 38 5-10 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 12 6 -
C. Thomas * 34 6-15 2-4 2-2 4 5 1 0 3 16 8 -
T. Francis * 32 4-8 0-0 7-9 5 0 2 1 2 15 13 -
C. Falls * 29 6-12 6-10 1-3 0 0 1 0 0 19 8 -
J. Cornette * 27 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 4 1 0 5 -
O. Isreal 18 0-1 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 2 0 4 -
D. Latimore 12 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
R. Cornett 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
R. Kurz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams * 36 7-16 0-3 3-4 9 12 0 0 2 17 20 -
D. Brown * 34 7-14 2-3 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 18 8 -
J. Boone * 31 4-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 3 0 9 17 -
R. Gay * 30 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 1 2 6 8 -
C. Villanueva * 30 9-14 1-1 6-7 4 3 0 4 2 25 20 -
A. Kellogg 16 3-4 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
E. Nelson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Mulchrone 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
R. Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter