Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (79-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odartey Blankson | 35 | 11-20 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| M. Umeh | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Vaught | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Ricky Morgan | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Blassingame | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Andy Hannan | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Dustin Villepigue | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Curtis Terry | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morris | 36 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Matt Nelson | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Micheal Morris | 35 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jason Smith | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Matt Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Creason | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jon Rakiecki | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Phillip Thomasson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Verwers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter