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2005-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Blankson 35 11-20 2-3 7-8 12 1 1 0 0 31 25 -
M. Umeh 32 4-9 1-2 5-8 5 6 0 0 4 14 12 -
T. Vaught 31 5-12 2-5 5-6 7 1 2 0 1 17 14 -
R. Morgan 21 1-1 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Amundson 19 1-6 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
J. Blassingame 19 1-4 0-2 5-7 0 0 3 0 3 7 3 -
J. Anthony 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
A. Hannan 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
D. Villepigue 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Terry 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Morris 36 6-9 5-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 19 13 -
M. Nelson 35 7-12 0-0 10-12 9 1 0 3 4 24 21 -
M. Morris 35 2-7 0-4 4-4 8 7 3 1 5 8 15 -
J. Smith 33 6-11 0-0 3-6 9 0 0 1 1 15 13 -
M. Williams 26 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 5 1 -
S. Creason 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 4 8 -
J. Rakiecki 12 0-4 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Thomasson 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Verwers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Patterson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter