Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -3 (69-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lane | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Clark | 32 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Coby Karl | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jason Ellis | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Seth Robinson | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Johnson | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tez Banks | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| McNeal Thompson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquin Chandler | 33 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Eric Bloom | 32 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Michael McFadden | 31 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kareem Guilbeaux | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alex Elam | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Misko | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Donta Watson | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Joe Udeoji | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter